Now that Super Tuesday has been declared as a bust because Romney could not deliver the knockout punch, it’s a good time to assess the candidates and where they stand, specifically, should they stay in or get out. Note that because of proportional distribution of delegates this time around, and with the new SuperPAC ruling, this race could go on for a while. Below is the list in order of preference of who should drop out. We’re left with a Mitt, a Rick, a Newt, and a Paul.
Reasons to Stay In: The Gospel of Paul is continuing to play well to the loyal minions of this movement. His supporters don’t want him to drop out. He wasn’t trying to win the election, but rather win the hearts and minds of the American public. He has done that, at least for his ardent supporters. If he stays in, he gets to see the entire country for free while using money from his followers to preach his message of a sound monetary policy.
Reasons to Drop Out: Haven’t we heard enough of the same record? We get it. Over 20 debates, dozens of interviews and countless speeches, he has drilled home the same message. There’s no need to repeat it any further and continue to spend other people’s money to do it. Proof: no state wins to boast about. And the race is about delegates and he doesn’t have enough. There is no path to the nomination, and no way to affect the outcome. It’s time for him to go. But he’s going nowhere fast.
Reasons to Stay In: Just like in Hollywood Squares, Sheldon Adelson (Newt’s Sugar Daddy) is using Newt to block Rick. Good plan. Mitt would be in a whole heap of trouble if votes for Rick weren’t being siphoned off by Newt, or split between Mitt and Rick. Collecting delegates can throw a monkey wrench into Mitt’s plans and possibly lead to a brokered (i.e., broken) convention, which will cause chaos for Mitt and the republican establishment, as Newt would prefer. He doesn’t much like Mitt so any stick in the spokes of Mitt’s attempt to win the grueling Tour de America would be sufficient payback for the carpet bombing he endured during the negative ad campaigns against him in several states.
Reasons to Drop Out: No chance of being the nominee mathematically, and he may run out of money. His big ideas are a whole lot of hot air from a big mouth. There is no substance behind these “ideas”, and the term is being used loosely! He is a schoolyard bully who is turning off the electorate everywhere except the deep south where bullying is tolerated. Being a bully doesn’t necessarily make you qualified to be President, and claiming that you’re the only one who can debate Obama and win is one of the weakest arguments in the history of Presidential politics. Speaking of history, he needs to take a course on world history one of these days rather than spouting off a lot of fictional stories while claiming to be a historian.
Reasons to Stay In: Just in case Newt drops out, he can beat Mitt in a variety of different states and perhaps force a contested convention. He’s the last best Hope for America as a non-Romney candidate, although these days he seems to be running for Pope of America.
Reasons to Drop Out: No chance to catch Romney unless Newt drops out and that won’t happen unless Newt loses in Mississippi and Alabama. His quesitonable off-message remarks on social topics have put off segments of the voters such as women and Catholics, along with moderates. Fiscal conservatives don’t see him as a fiscal conservative. He better continue to raise money or he’ll have to drop out. Does not seem likely that he will drop out.
Reasons to Stay In: The inevitable winner one way or the other, but needs everyone else to stay in and split the vote. He may need to write a check to Newt’s campaign or SuperPAC just to make sure he stays in the race. The establishment wants Mitt at all costs. Target end of June to wrap up the 1144 delegates, so get ready to spend lots of money that could have been used in the General Election. The superdelegates will back Mitt if he can’t reach 1144 delegates. Otherwise, get ready for a fight at the convention!
Reasons to Drop Out: There is no reason to drop out until Nov. 6. At that point, the voters will give him a reason to drop out.